For its part, Washington has made a series of policy choices over the last few years that can be summed. Relations between the United States and China seem to be getting frostier by the day. President Joe Biden speaks in Washington on Feb. Tune in for a detailed assessment of the war so far and analysis on what lies ahead. Join FP’s Ravi Agrawal for a conversation with two top Russia experts: Angela Stent, a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, and Michael Kofman, the Russia studies research program director at the Center for Naval Analyses. What lessons can policymakers learn from the first year of the war? What will the next year look like? What steps can be taken to end the war? Show more massive loss of life and severe damage to infrastructure and economic activity. If one steps back from the daily news cycle, it’s clear that both sides have faced devastating impacts, including. It’s been almost one year since Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. Only FP subscribers can submit questions for FP Live interviews. My question to Tyler Cowen: is there are markets in everything, why isn’t their a Scandal Pool? This sort of thing could have the potential to be a useful indicator (admittedly, it would also be ripe for manipulation by mischief-makers but so are election markets) for media and politicos - it could create a metric for off-the-record, on-the-qt-and-very-hush-hush kind of information. Contracts could be limited to, say, 3-month or 6-month time windows. Still, one could devise several market outcomes on which to bet: a Washington Post story about a scandal, a Nexis count of news stories about a scandal, or even an actual resignation. If there are prediction markets for elections, why isn’t their a prediction market for politicians and scandals? Admittedly, elections have a clear end date and (hopefully) a clear winner. So here’s my question to economists and political scientists. And, Lord knows, everyone knew Bill Clinton had a problem before a story broke. My Louisiana contacts tell me the same thing was true of David Vitters. Craig is clearly not the only politico that carried around the whiff of scandal before it actually hit. Popkey’s story makes it clear that rumors had been dogging Craig on this question for years, of not decades. In thinking about the fall of Larry Craig, I went back and re-read Dan Popkey’s Idaho Statesman story from last week. My question to Tyler Cowen: is there are markets in everything, why isn't their a Scandal Pool? If there are prediction markets for elections, why isn't their a prediction market for politicians and scandals? Admittedly, elections have a clear end date and (hopefully) a clear winner. So here's my question to economists and political scientists. Popkey's story makes it clear that rumors had been dogging Craig on this question for years, of not decades. In thinking about the fall of Larry Craig, I went back and re-read Dan Popkey's Idaho Statesman story from last week.
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